Khairul Yusuf Nasution
Division of Agriculture, KJPP Rengganis Hamid and
Rekan
Menara Kuningan 8th Floor
Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-7 Kav 5 Jakarta
khairulnasution678@gmail.com
ABSTRACT
Deviation
climate often effect negative influence. One of the main factor is ENSO (El
Nino Southern Oscillation) phenomena. El Nino usually well-know as long dry
season and La Nina as wet season or flooding. The aim of this paper is to know
the effect of El Nino, La Nina and rainfall to FFB Yield by taking sampling in
Central Kalimantan.
Analysis result said that there was effect among El Nino,
La Nina and rainfall to FFB yield in Central Kalimantan. FFB yield of oil palm
fluctuated as influenced by rainfall. In 2004, 2006 and 2009/2010 rainfall has
decreased so that an impact on FFB yield in the next two to three years. In
2004/2005, 2007/2008 and 2010/2011 rainfall increase on two years later and FFB
yield of oil palm increased significantly compared with the previous year. if compared with FFB yield actual with FFB yield
potential fluctuated. In 2005, 2006, 2008 the average FFB yield actual under
FFB yield potential and in 2011 same with the FFB yield potential of oil palm
plantations which should be higher than the FFB yield potential. In 2007, 2009,
2010 and 2012 the average FFB yield actual was higher than the FFB yield
potential in oil palm plantations in central Kalimantan. This was due to
happened of El Nino and La Nina on two previous years so the impact on the FFB
yield of oil palm plantations.
From the
data Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) El Nino has occurred seven times and La Nina has occurs seven times from 1990
to 2013 (Climate Prediction Center / NCEP, 2014) so that it could be concluded
El Nino occurs 3.14 years and La Nina occurs 3.14 years in Indonesia. Potential
El Nino in 2014 according to some institution will be neutral condition until
intensity El Nino weak at the end of the year. with using Oceanic Nino Index
(ONI), oil palm plantations can
anticipate decrease oil palm yield on
the influence of ENSO especially rainfall,
so that stakeholders, oil palm
plantation companies and planter in field can create anticipation by way of
conservation of mechanical and the biological.
Key Words : El Nino, La Nina, Rainfall, Oceanic Nino
Index (ONI), FFB Yield
Poster Presenter in International Oil Palm Conference (IOPC) 2014
17-19 June 2014 in Nusa Dua Bali